Everton vs Ipswich Town — Win Probability, Form & H2H

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Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Everton vs Ipswich Town — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Everton

Home

TS55.5

vs

Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC

Ipswich Town

Away

TS29.8

Win probabilityhow the model works

EvertonDrawIpswich Town

59%26%15%

1.5–0.7

Modeled xG

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Everton4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

60.6

Röhl

Ipswich Town4-2-3-1

Evertonteam news

OUTNørgaard— Groin injury - Unknown return date

OUTAznou— Has joined Malaga on loan for the rest of the season

Ipswich Townteam news

OUTMatusiwa— Muscular injury - Unknown return date

OUTTaylor— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTPhilogene— Ankle injury - Unknown return date

OUTBurns— Has joined Leicester City permanently

OUTHirst— Has joined Stoke City permanently

OUTSzmodics— Has joined Derby County on loan for the rest of the season

OUTAl-Hamadi— Has joined Sheffield Wednesday on loan for the rest of the season

OUTVan Oevelen— Has joined Valencia on loan for the rest of the season

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Everton

DWLLD

Form

Ipswich Town

LWLLL

D

AFC Bournemouth1–1Away

29 Aug

L

Manchester United5–2Away

30 Aug

W

Home2–0Crystal Palace

22 Aug

W

Home2–1Sunderland

22 Aug

L

Tottenham Hotspur1–0Away

24 May

L

Home1–3West Ham United

25 May

L

Home1–3Sunderland

17 May

L

Leicester City2–0Away

18 May

D

Crystal Palace2–2Away

10 May

L

Home0–1Brentford

10 May

1W2D2L6–7

1W0D4L5–12

Head to head

Head to Head

1

Everton wins

1

Draws

0

Ipswich Town wins

2 meetings

3 MayEverton2–2Ipswich Town 19 OctIpswich Town0–2Everton

Who will win?

59%

Everton

26%

Draw

15%

Ipswich Town

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumHill Dickinson Stadium

Capacity52,888

Surfacegrass

Greaves