Manchester City vs Sunderland — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Skip to content

Sign In Get Started

Founding Beta

Tactico is built around Player & Club Data, Match Intelligence, Predictive Modeling, and Research & Visualization — understand the system, not the surface.

Core

Club football as the permanent base

Launch

The 26/27 season, priced in public

Transparency

Public roadmap and visible system progress

The standard

Methodology →

Every score is deterministic, evidence-gated, and confidence-labelled. Football intelligence should be explainable — not a black box with a number on the front. The methodology is part of the product, not a legal page.

Deterministic scoringFree during betaPublication gate active

Core

Players Clubs Matches World Cup Archive Roadmap

Product

Compare Rankings Forecast Methodology Membership Intelligence Hub Predictive Modeling Market & Value

Legal

Privacy Terms© 2026 Tactico SportsPowered bySPORTMONKS

Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Manchester City vs Sunderland — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Manchester City

Home

Manchester City

TS82.6

vs

Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC

Sunderland

Away

TS56.6

Win probabilityhow the model works

Manchester CityDrawSunderland

75%17%9%

2.2–0.8

Modeled xG

55%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Manchester City4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

70.2

Lewis

Sunderland4-2-3-1

Manchester Cityteam news

OUTDoku— Calf injury - Expected back 5 Sep

OUTAlleyne— Has joined Burnley on loan for the rest of the season

OUTRodrigo— Has joined Barcelona permanently

OUTReijnders— Has joined Al Qadsiah permanently

OUTPhillips— Has joined Sheffield United on loan for the rest of the season

DOUBTMatheus N.— Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Sunderlandteam news

OUTAdingra— Ankle injury - Unknown return date

OUTPatterson— Has joined Wrexham permanently

OUTSeelt— Has joined Swansea City on loan for the rest of the season

OUTHjelde— Has joined KV Mechelen on loan for the rest of the season

OUTMasuaku— Has joined Konyaspor permanently

DOUBTDiarra— Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Manchester City

WWLDW

Form

Sunderland

WLWWD

W

Crystal Palace1–4Away

28 Aug

W

Home1–0Fulham

30 Aug

W

Home2–1AFC Bournemouth

23 Aug

L

Ipswich Town2–1Away

22 Aug

L

Home1–2Aston Villa

24 May

W

Home2–1Chelsea

24 May

D

AFC Bournemouth1–1Away

19 May

W

Everton1–3Away

17 May

W

Home3–0Crystal Palace

13 May

D

Home0–0Manchester United

9 May

3W1D1L11–5

3W1D1L7–4

Head to head

Head to Head

1

Manchester City wins

1

Draws

0

Sunderland wins

2 meetings

1 JanSunderland0–0Manchester City 6 DecManchester City3–0Sunderland

Who will win?

75%

Manchester City

17%

Draw

9%

Sunderland

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

O'Nien