Newcastle United vs Hull City — Win Probability, Form & H2H

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Tactico Sports provides statistics, analysis, and opinion for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing on this site is betting, financial, or professional advice. Projections and picks are probabilistic opinions and may be wrong. Odds referenced may change and should be verified with the source. 21+ where applicable. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Tactico Sports currently has no sportsbook partnerships or affiliate relationships; any future relationship will be clearly disclosed. Tactico Sports (tacticosports.com) is a football data and AI analysis platform and is unrelated to tacticosport.com, a separate grassroots sports organisation. Data sources · Terms · Privacy

Newcastle United vs Hull City — Win Probability, Form & H2H

Premier LeagueNot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1

Newcastle United

Home

Newcastle United

TS64.1

vs

Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC

Hull City

Away

TS41.7

Win probabilityhow the model works

Newcastle UnitedDrawHull City

55%26%19%

1.7–0.9

Modeled xG

56%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Both teams to score

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Projected lineupsfq-xi-v1.1

Newcastle United4-2-3-1

← All matches Match forecasts Compare these clubs

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms

67.4

Dedić

Hull City5-4-1

Newcastle Unitedteam news

OUTBurn— Ankle injury - Expected back 14 Sep

OUTLivramento— Calf injury - Unknown return date

OUTJoelinton— Unspecified injury - Unknown return date

OUTOsula— Foot injury - Unknown return date

OUTA.Murphy— Has joined FC Kaiserslautern on loan for the rest of the season

Hull Cityteam news

OUTButland— Arm injury - Unknown return date

OUTHughes— Groin injury - Unknown return date

OUTJacob— Hip injury - Expected back 5 Sep

OUTMatazo— Knee injury - Unknown return date

OUTZambrano— Thigh injury - Unknown return date

OUTGyabi— Thigh injury - Unknown return date

OUTGelhardt— Ankle injury - Expected back 5 Sep

OUTCartwright— Has joined Grimsby Town on loan for the rest of the season

Projected from the last 5 real team sheets, the current squad, and availability from the official FPL feed (synced 2 Sept) — not confirmed team news. Injured, suspended, and departed players are excluded; ? = flagged doubtful; dashed ring = squad-depth fill.

Badge = projected Tactico Match Rating (fq-mr-v1): player score + form + opponent strength + venue. Dots = starts in those sheets.

Recent form

Form

Newcastle United

WDLWD

Form

Hull City

WW

W

Tottenham Hotspur0–2Away

29 Aug

W

Coventry City0–1Away

29 Aug

D

Home2–2Liverpool

23 Aug

W

Home2–0Manchester United

22 Aug

L

Fulham2–0Away

24 May

W

Home3–1West Ham United

17 May

D

Nottingham Forest1–1Away

10 May

2W2D1L8–6

2W0D0L3–0

Who will win?

55%

Newcastle United

26%

Draw

19%

Hull City

Our model's own number for this match. How it's built

Venue

StadiumSt. James' Park

LocationNewcastle upon Tyne

Capacity52,409

Surfacegrass

58.8

Egan