Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Le HavreDrawBrest
37%30%33%
1.3–1.2
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 2.60X 3.252 2.70
implied (vig removed): 36% · 29% · 35%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Le Havre
DLWLD
Form
Brest
DDDLL
D
Olympique Lyonnais1–1Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
