Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
NiceDrawLe Mans
47%29%24%
1.5–0.8
Modeled xG
59%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 1.82X 3.652 4.25
implied (vig removed): 52% · 26% · 22%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Nice
LDDLD
Form
Le Mans
LD
L
Paris3–0Away
L
Rennes32
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
