Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Paris Saint GermainDrawMonaco
51%24%25%
2.3–1.2
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 1.40X 5.022 6.50
implied (vig removed): 67% · 19% · 14%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Paris Saint Germain
DDWLW
Form
Monaco
WWWWL
D
LOSC Lille2–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
