Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ToulouseDrawLOSC Lille
21%24%55%
1.0–1.3
Modeled xG
53%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 3.30X 3.302 2.20
implied (vig removed): 29% · 29% · 43%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Toulouse
DLDWW
Form
LOSC Lille
DWLWD
D
Brest2–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
