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Brest

TS53.4

vs

Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTC

Away

Paris Saint Germain

TS85.3

Win probabilityhow the model works

BrestDrawParis Saint Germain

25%25%49%

1.2–1.9

Modeled xG

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 7.64X 5.502 1.30

implied (vig removed): 12% · 17% · 71%

Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.

Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms