Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Le MansDrawLens
22%24%54%
1.0–1.3
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 5.10X 4.102 1.57
implied (vig removed): 18% · 23% · 59%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Le Mans
LD
Form
Lens
LWWLW
L
Rennes3–2Away
L
Strasbourg21
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
