Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
LOSC LilleDrawTroyes
68%21%11%
1.7–0.9
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 1.40X 4.502 7.50
implied (vig removed): 67% · 21% · 12%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
LOSC Lille
DWLWD
Form
Troyes
WDDLD
D
Home2–2Paris Saint Germain
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
