Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
RennesDrawOlympique Marseille
38%27%36%
1.6–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 2.29X 3.702 2.78
implied (vig removed): 41% · 25% · 34%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Rennes
WDLWL
Form
Olympique Marseille
LWWWL
W
Home3–2Le Mans
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
