Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
StrasbourgDrawMonaco
34%26%39%
1.6–1.7
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 31 bookmakers1 3.05X 3.652 2.10
implied (vig removed): 30% · 25% · 44%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Strasbourg
WLWWD
Form
Monaco
WWWWL
W
Home2–1Lens
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
