Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Le MansDrawLorient
34%31%35%
1.0–1.0
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Le Mans
LD
Form
Lorient
LDLWD
L
Rennes3–2Away
L
Home12
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
