Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
MonacoDrawLens
37%25%38%
2.0–1.7
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Monaco
WWWWL
Form
Lens
LWWLW
W
Home2–0Olympique Marseille
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
