Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ToulouseDrawLe Havre
42%30%28%
1.4–1.0
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Toulouse
DLDWW
Form
Le Havre
DLWLD
D
Brest2–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
