Ligue 1Not Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
Olympique MarseilleDrawParis Saint Germain
41%27%32%
1.4–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Olympique Marseille
LWWWL
Form
Paris Saint Germain
DDWLW
L
Monaco2–0Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
