Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
CagliariDrawLecce
45%30%25%
1.2–0.9
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 1.97X 3.202 4.15
implied (vig removed): 48% · 29% · 23%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Cagliari
LWWWL
Form
Lecce
LWWWL
L
Home0–1Inter
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
