Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
FiorentinaDrawTorino
43%30%28%
1.4–1.1
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 1.91X 3.302 4.33
implied (vig removed): 50% · 29% · 22%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Fiorentina
LLDWD
Form
Torino
LLDLW
L
Home0–3Frosinone
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
