Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
FrosinoneDrawVenezia
48%30%22%
1.1–0.8
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 2.75X 3.402 2.50
implied (vig removed): 34% · 28% · 38%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Frosinone
WLLWL
Form
Venezia
LLLLW
W
Fiorentina0–3Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
