Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
GenoaDrawComo
16%21%62%
0.9–1.3
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 42 bookmakers1 5.00X 3.302 1.81
implied (vig removed): 19% · 29% · 52%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Genoa
LLLLD
Form
Como
WDWWW
L
Lazio1–0Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
