Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
UdineseDrawLazio
38%29%33%
1.4–1.0
Modeled xG
53%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 41 bookmakers1 2.90X 3.102 2.50
implied (vig removed): 32% · 30% · 37%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Udinese
WDLLW
Form
Lazio
WWWLL
W
Monza2–3Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
