Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ComoDrawParma
74%18%8%
1.8–0.6
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 4 bookmakers1 1.34X 4.802 10.25
implied (vig removed): 71% · 20% · 9%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Como
WDWWW
Form
Parma
LLWLL
W
Napoli1–2Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
