Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
SassuoloDrawJuventus
18%22%60%
0.9–1.4
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 27 bookmakers1 5.40X 3.852 1.57
implied (vig removed): 17% · 24% · 59%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Sassuolo
WLLLL
Form
Juventus
WWDLW
W
Home2–1Torino
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
