Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
TorinoDrawRoma
16%19%65%
1.2–2.0
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Market consensus · 4 bookmakers1 5.44X 3.662 1.68
implied (vig removed): 17% · 26% · 57%
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Torino
LLDLW
Form
Roma
WWWWW
L
Sassuolo2–1Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
