Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
BolognaDrawTorino
57%26%17%
1.8–0.9
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Bologna
LLDWW
Form
Torino
LLDLW
L
Atalanta1–0Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
