Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
25%28%47%
1.0–1.3
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Fiorentina
LLDWD
Form
Napoli
LWWWL
L
Home0–3Frosinone
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
