Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
JuventusDrawAtalanta
61%24%15%
1.6–0.9
Modeled xG
55%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Juventus
WWDLW
Form
Atalanta
WWWDD
W
Home2–0Parma
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
