Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
AC MilanDrawLecce
55%26%19%
1.8–0.9
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
AC Milan
WWLWL
Form
Lecce
LWWWL
W
Home2–0Venezia
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
