Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
MonzaDrawSassuolo
30%32%38%
1.0–0.9
Modeled xG
52%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Monza
LLLLW
Form
Sassuolo
WLLLL
L
Home2–3Udinese
W
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
