Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
ParmaDrawGenoa
34%33%33%
0.8–0.8
Modeled xG
56%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Parma
LLWLL
Form
Genoa
LLLLD
L
Juventus2–0Away
L
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
