Serie ANot Startedens-nn-tabm-poisson-v1
Win probabilityhow the model works
RomaDrawInter
65%20%16%
1.9–1.5
Modeled xG
61%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Probabilities from our own model — estimates, not certainties, and sometimes wrong.
Recent form
Form
Roma
WWWWW
Form
Inter
WWDDW
W
Lecce0–4Away
Probabilistic projection, not advice. Forecasts are informational only and can be wrong. Football outcomes are inherently uncertain. Terms
